Voting in today's Wisconsin primary will close at 20:00 CST. Voting in today's Washington primary, which only affects Republican delegate selection (19 of them), will close at 20:00 EST. Hawaii Democratic caucuses will hold a presidential preference ballot between 19:00 HST and 19:30 HST, but the Hawaii Democratic Party does not expect to post results before 20:30 HST. The pledged delegate allocation for all of these events is as follows:
Hawaii Democrats (updated 1:00 HST)
| HI-D | Clinton | Obama | Unallocated |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Congressional District | 2 | 4 | |
| 2nd Congressional District | 2 | 5 | |
| At Large | 1 | 3 | |
| Pledged PLEO | 1 | 2 | |
| Total Pledged Delegates | 6 | 14 |
Washington Republicans (updated 21 Feb)
| WA-R | Huckabee | McCain | Paul | Unallocated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Congressional District | 1 | |||
| 2nd Congressional District | 1 | |||
| 3rd Congressional District | 1 | |||
| 4th Congressional District | 1 | |||
| 5th Congressional District | 1 | |||
| 6th Congressional District | 1 | |||
| 7th Congressional District | 1 | |||
| 8th Congressional District | 1 | |||
| 9th Congressional District | 1 | |||
| At Large | 3 | 7 | ||
| Total Pledged Delegates | 3 | 16 |
Wisconsin Democrats (updated 00:09 CST)
| WI-D | Clinton | Obama | Unallocated |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Congressional District | 3 | 3 | |
| 2nd Congressional District | 3 | 5 | |
| 3rd Congressional District | 3 | 3 | |
| 4th Congressional District | 2 | 4 | |
| 5th Congressional District | 2 | 3 | |
| 6th Congressional District | 2 | 3 | |
| 7th Congressional District | 3 | 3 | |
| 8th Congressional District | 3 | 3 | |
| At Large | 7 | 9 | |
| Pledged PLEO | 4 | 6 | |
| Total Pledged Delegates | 32 | 42 |
Wisconsin Republicans (updated 23:26 CST)
| WI-R | Huckabee | McCain | Paul | Unallocated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Congressional District | 3 | |||
| 2nd Congressional District | 3 | |||
| 3rd Congressional District | 3 | |||
| 4th Congressional District | 3 | |||
| 5th Congressional District | 3 | |||
| 6th Congressional District | 3 | |||
| 7th Congressional District | 3 | |||
| 8th Congressional District | 3 | |||
| At Large | 16 | |||
| Total Pledged Delegates | 34 | 6 |
As the 5 February vote is still being counted in California (as in New York and some other states), the delegate count in these states is subject to change. Barack Obama has now taken the lead in the 53rd Congressional District of California, gaining a delegate from Clinton. My current pledged delegate projection for California is now Clinton 206, Obama 164.
Yesterday, the Michigan Republican Convention selected the state's delegates to the national convention. After sanctions, McCain received 24 delegates, Huckabee received 4, and the leanings of 2 delegates are unknown.
Louisiana Republicans also held their convention to determine 44 national convention delegates yesterday. Of these, 32 support McCain, 3 are uncommitted, and the leanings of the remaining 9 are unknown.
Added four delegates for Clinton (Democrats Abroad DNC members Robert Bell and Leo Perez Minaya (½ vote), Rhode Island DNC members Frank Montanaro and Edna O'Neill Matson, and Texas DNC member Bob Slagle) and 2½ delegate for Obama (Democrats Abroad DNC members Toby Condliffe, Liv Gibbons, and Brent O'Leary (each with ½ vote) and District of Columbia Shadow Rep. Mike Panetta).
Added two delegates for Clinton (Pennsylvania DNC members Ian Murray and Ruth Rudy), two delegates for McCain (South Dakota RNC members Karl Adam and Ron Schmidt), and six delegates for Obama (Alaska DNC memer John Davies, New York DNC member Marianne Spraggins, Puerto Rico DNC member Celita Arroyo de Roques, South Dakota Democratic Party chair Jack Billion and DNC member Sharon Stroschein, and Washington Rep. Brian Baird). Additionally, Iowa DNC member Sarah Swisher has switched her support from Clinton to Obama. I've removed John Lewis's vote for Obama due to contradicting media reports regarding his vote.
Added eight delegates for Clinton (California DNC member John Perez, Kentucky DNC members Moretta Bosley, Terry McBrayer, and Joetta Wickliffe, former DNC chair Debra DeLee (MA), Massachusetts DNC member Gus Bickford, Montgomery County, PA Democratic chair Marcel Groen, and Tennessee DNC member Jimmy Farris) and thirteen delegates for Obama (D.C. Democratic State Committee vice chair Jeffrey Richardson, Idaho DNC member Jeanne Buell, former DNC chair David Wilhelm (IL), former DNC chair Paul Kirk (MA), Massachusetts Democratic Party chair John Walsh and DNC member Raymond Jordan, Montana DNC member Ed Tinsley, New Jersey DNC member Christine Samuels, North Carolina Democratic Party vice chair Dannie Montgomery, Puerto Rico Gov. Anibal Acedo-Vila, South Dakota DNC member Nicholas Nemec, Tennessee DNC member Will Cheek, Vermont Democratic Party chair Ian Carleton). Additionally, switched the votes of Georgia Reps. John Lewis and David Scott from Clinton to Obama.
I'm waiting on the Maryland Secretary of State to post numbers from
Voting in today's Virginia primary will close at 19:00 EST, and voting in today's District of Columbia and Maryland primaries will close at 20:00 EST. The pledged delegate allocation for these states is as follows:
Maryland Democrats (updated 16:55 EST)
| MD-D | Clinton | Obama | Unallocated |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Congressional District | 3 | 2 | |
| 2nd Congressional District | 2 | 3 | |
| 3rd Congressional District | 3 | 3 | |
| 4th Congressional District | 2 | 5 | |
| 5th Congressional District | 2 | 4 | |
| 6th Congressional District | 2 | 2 | |
| 7th Congressional District | 1 | 5 | |
| 8th Congressional District | 3 | 4 | |
| At Large | 6 | 9 | |
| Pledged PLEO | 3 | 6 | |
| Total Pledged Delegates | 27 | 43 |
Maryland Republicans (updated 2:46 EST)
| MD-R | Huckabee | McCain | Paul | Unallocated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Congressional District | 3 | |||
| 2nd Congressional District | 3 | |||
| 3rd Congressional District | 3 | |||
| 4th Congressional District | 3 | |||
| 5th Congressional District | 3 | |||
| 6th Congressional District | 3 | |||
| 7th Congressional District | 3 | |||
| 8th Congressional District | 3 | |||
| At Large | 13 | |||
| Total Pledged Delegates | 37 |
District of Columbia Democrats
| DC-D | Clinton | Obama | Unallocated |
|---|---|---|---|
| Municipal District 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Municipal District 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| At Large | 1 | 2 | |
| Pledged PLEO | 0 | 2 | |
| Total Pledged Delegates | 3 | 12 |
Maryland Republicans (updated 2:46 EST)
| MD-R | Huckabee | McCain | Paul | Unallocated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Congressional District | 3 | |||
| 2nd Congressional District | 3 | |||
| 3rd Congressional District | 3 | |||
| 4th Congressional District | 3 | |||
| 5th Congressional District | 3 | |||
| 6th Congressional District | 3 | |||
| 7th Congressional District | 3 | |||
| 8th Congressional District | 3 | |||
| At Large | 13 | |||
| Total Pledged Delegates | 37 |
Virginia Democrats (updated 23:38 EST)
| VA-D | Clinton | Obama | Unallocated |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Congressional District | 1 | 3 | |
| 2nd Congressional District | 1 | 3 | |
| 3rd Congressional District | 1 | 5 | |
| 4th Congressional District | 1 | 4 | |
| 5th Congressional District | 1 | 3 | |
| 6th Congressional District | 2 | 2 | |
| 7th Congressional District | 2 | 3 | |
| 8th Congressional District | 3 | 4 | |
| 9th Congressional District | 3 | 1 | |
| 10th Congressional District | 2 | 3 | |
| 11th Congressional District | 2 | 4 | |
| At Large | 6 | 12 | |
| Pledged PLEO | 4 | 7 | |
| Ttal Pledged Delegates | 29 | 54 |
District of Columbia Republicans (updated 21:48 EST)
| DC-R | Huckabee | McCain | Paul | Unallocated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Pledged Delegates | 16 |
Virginia Republicans (updated 20:34 EST)
| VA-R | Huckabee | McCain | Paul | Unallocated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Pledged Delegates | 63 |
Added a delegate for Obama (D.C. Del. Eleanor Holmes Norton).
Added five delegates for Clinton (Alabama St. Rep. Yvonne Kennedy and DNC member Randy Kelley, Hawaii DNC member Richard Port, Lousiana DNC member Patsy Arceneaux, and Pennsylvania DNC member Evelyn Richardson) and ten delegates for Obama (California DNC member Mary Ellen Early, Indiana Democratic Party vice chair Cordelia Lewis-Burks, Maine DNC members Rita Moran and Sam Spencer, Nebraska DNC member Kathleen Fahey, Pennsylvania Rep. Chaka Fattah, Texas Rep. Charlie Gonzalez, Virgin Islands Democratic Party chair Cecil Benjamin and Governor John deJongh Jr., and Wisconsin DNC member Stan Gruszynski). Also, noted the support of Florida DNC member Chuck Mohlke for Clinton and Florida St. Rep. Joyce Cusack for Obama.
Rep. Tom Lantos of California (a Clinton supporter) died early this morning. My condolences go out to his family and friends.
Democrats in Maine are holding caucuses today. In addition to the 24 delegates selected by the state convention delegates elected today, Maine Democratic Party chair John Knutson has announced that he will cast his superdelegate vote for the winner of the caucuses. The projected pledged delegate allocation for Maine is as follows:
Democrats (updated 18:14 EST)
| ME-D | Clinton | Obama | Unallocated |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Congressional District | 3 | 6 | |
| 2nd Congressional District | 3 | 4 | |
| At Large | 2 | 3 | |
| Pledged PLEO | 1 | 2 | |
| Total Pledged Delegates | 9 | 15 | |
| John Knutson | 1 |
Added five delegates for Clinton (California DNC member Christopher Stampolis, New Mexico Democratic Party vice chair Annadelle Sanchez, New Mexico DNC member Raymond Sanchez, American Federation of Teachers New Mexico president Christine Trujillo, and Virginia DNC member Barbara Easterling), eight delegates for McCain (Alabama RNC member Bettye Fine Collins, California RNC member Barbara Alby, Connecticut Republican Party chair Chris Healy and RNC members John Frey and Pat Longo, North Dakota RNC member Connie Nicholas, Oklahoma Republican Party chair Gary Jones, and Pennsylvania RNC member Christine Olson), and three delegates for Obama (American Samoa DNC member Therese Hankin, Rhode Island Attorney General Patrick Lynch, and Virginia Rep. James Moran). Also, retracted Anita Bonds' record of support.
As no candidate has recieved 50% of the vote in the Louisiana Republican primary, 20 delegates will be officially unpledged. These delegates will be selected at the 16 February Louisiana Republican convention.
Today marks the Kansas Republican caucuses, Louisana (both party) primaries, Nebraska Democratic caucuses, Washington (both party) caucuses, and the Virgin Islands Democratic convention. Tables of the delegate allocation for each state will be posted when returns come in:
Louisiana Democrats (updated 00:30 CST)
| LA-D | Clinton | Obama | Unallocated |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Congressional District | 2 | 2 | |
| 2nd Congressional District | 2 | 3 | |
| 3rd Congressional District | 3 | 3 | |
| 4th Congressional District | 2 | 3 | |
| 5th Congressional District | 2 | 4 | |
| 6th Congressional District | 2 | 3 | |
| 7th Congressional District | 3 | 3 | |
| At Large | 5 | 3 | |
| Pledged PLEO | 3 | 4 | |
| Total Pledged Delegates | 24 | 32 |
Virgin Islands Democrats (updated 23:04 EST)
| VI-D | Clinton | Obama | Unallocated |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Pledged Delegate Vote | 3 |
Washington Democrats (updated 19:55 PST)
| WA-D | Clinton | Obama | Unallocated |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Congressional District | 2 | 4 | |
| 2nd Congressional District | 2 | 4 | |
| 3rd Congressional District | 2 | 3 | |
| 4th Congressional District | 1 | 2 | |
| 5th Congressional District | 2 | 3 | |
| 6th Congressional District | 2 | 4 | |
| 7th Congressional District | 2 | 5 | |
| 8th Congressional District | 2 | 4 | |
| 9th Congressional District | 2 | 3 | |
| At Large | 5 | 12 | |
| Pledged PLEO | 3 | 7 | |
| Total Pledged Delegates | 25 | 53 |
Nebraska Democrats (updated 21:13 CST)
| NE-D | Clinton | Obama | Unallocated |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Congressional District | 2 | 4 | |
| 2nd Congressional District | 1 | 5 | |
| 3rd Congressional District | 2 | 2 | |
| At Large | 2 | 3 | |
| Pledged PLEO | 1 | 2 | |
| Total Pledged Delegates | 8 | 16 |
Kansas Republicans (updated 18:09 CST)
| KS-R | Huckabee | McCain | Paul | Unallocated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Congressional District | 3 | |||
| 2nd Congressional District | 3 | |||
| 3rd Congressional District | 3 | |||
| 4th Congressional District | 3 | |||
| At Large | 27 | |||
| Total Delegates | 39 |
Added fourteen delegates for Clinton (Arkansas Democratic Party chair Bill Gwatney, California DNC member Rachel Binah, Georgia DNC members Carole Dabbs and Lonnie Plott, New Jersey DNC members Alvaro Cifuentes, Maria Cordone, Richard Michalski, and Glenard Middleton, Young Democrats of America chairman David Hardt (TX), Memphis, TN city councilman Myron Lowert, Texas DNC members Norma Fisher Flores and David Holmes, Vermont DNC member Billi Gosh, and Washington Rep. Norm Dicks) and nine delegates for Obama (Connecticut DNC member Anthony Avallone, Kentucky Rep. Ben Chandler, Missouri DNC member Mark Bryant, Nebraska DNC members Frank LaMere and Vince Powers, Texas Rep. Eddie Bernice Johnson, Vermont Democratic Party vice chair Judy Bevans, Washington Gov. Christine Gregoire, and Wisconsin Rep. David Obey). Also, retracted DNC members Mary Long's and Yolanda Wheat's record of support, switched DNC member Denise Johnson's support to Obama, and removed Georgia Obama delegate Shirley Franklin, as she is no longer a member of the Democratic National Committee.
Added one delegate for Clinton (Arkansas Sen. Blanche Lincoln) and one delegate for Obama (Iowa Gov. Chet Culver). Additionally, Maine Democratic Party chair John Knutson has announced that he will vote for the winner of the 10 February Maine caucuses; his vote will be recorded once we know who wins those caucuses.
After some consideration, I will be removing all delegates that are officially "Uncommitted" or "Unpledged" that support candidates that have withdrawn from the race from their candidate's column.
By reader request, I've broken down the Democratic delegate allocation into pledged and unpledged delegates. I won't bother doing this for the Republicans, as that race is very close to being over and it probably won't matter which delegates are pledged and which are unpledged.
Gov. Mitt Romney has withdrawn from the race. I will deallocate his unpledged delegates today.
Added two delegates for Clinton (Iowa DNC member Sarah Swisher and former House Speaker Jim Wright (TX)) and two delegates for Obama (Minnesota Rep. Tim Walz and DNC member Kenneth Foxworth). Also, noted the support of Michigan Reps. John Dingell and John Kildee for Clinton.
I'm in the process of going through and verifying the Super Tuesday delegate projections. In the tables, states with an asterisk next to them are the ones that are based only on media delegate counts; for these states, no delegate breakdown (or data permitting the calculation thereof) is available to me.
As Hillary Clinton appears to have won California, the vote of Sen. Barbara Boxer is allocated to Clinton.
While Mike Huckabee has won today's West Virginia Convention, it appears that he has given 3 of his 18 delegates to Ron Paul. The tally below reflects this action.
Today is Super Tuesday, in which 25 jurisdictions hold primaries or caucuses for one or both parties. Since it will be unnecessarily time-consuming to report the complete delegate allocation live on Super Tuesday night, I'll post summary tables of the race here. Feel free to send me e-mail for more detailed figures.
Democrats
| Super Tuesday (D) | Clinton | Obama | Unallocated |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama | 25 | 27 | |
| Alaska | 4 | 9 | |
| American Samoa | 2 | 1 | |
| Arizona | 31 | 25 | |
| Arkansas* | 25 | 10 | |
| California | 207 | 163 | |
| Colorado | 19 | 36 | |
| Connecticut | 22 | 26 | |
| Delaware | 6 | 9 | |
| Georgia | 27 | 60 | |
| Idaho | 3 | 15 | |
| Illinois* | 49 | 104 | |
| Kansas | 9 | 23 | |
| Massachusetts* | 55 | 38 | |
| Minnesota* | 24 | 48 | |
| Missouri | 36 | 36 | |
| New Jersey | 60 | 47 | |
| New Mexico | 14 | 12 | |
| New York | 139 | 93 | |
| North Dakota | 5 | 8 | |
| Oklahoma | 24 | 14 | |
| Tennessee | 40 | 28 | |
| Utah* | 9 | 14 | |
| TOTALS | 838 | 843 |
Republicans
| Super Tuesday (R) | Huckabee | McCain | Paul | Romney | Unallocated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama | 26 | 19 | |||
| Alaska | 6 | 3 | 5 | 12 | |
| Arizona | 50 | ||||
| Arkansas | 29 | ||||
| California | 158 | 12 | |||
| Colorado | 43 | ||||
| Connecticut | 27 | ||||
| Delaware | 18 | ||||
| Georgia* | 45 | 21 | 6 | ||
| Illinois* | 54 | 2 | 1 | ||
| Massachusetts* | 18 | 22 | |||
| Minnesota | 38 | ||||
| Missouri | 58 | ||||
| Montana | 25 | ||||
| New Jersey | 52 | ||||
| New York | 87 | ||||
| North Dakota | 5 | 5 | 5 | 8 | |
| Oklahoma | 6 | 32 | |||
| Tennessee | 25 | 19 | 8 | ||
| Utah | 36 | ||||
| West Virginia | 15 | 3 | |||
| TOTALS | 157 | 621 | 13 | 206 | 7 |
Added four delegates for Clinton (Massachusetts DNC member Diane Saxe, New Mexico DNC member Mary Gail Gwaitney and Pennsylvania DNC members Rena Baumgartener and Jean Milko), three delegates for McCain (Guam RNC members Eddie Calvo, Phil Flores, and Mary Torres), and three delegates for Obama (Massachusetts DNC member David O'Brien, Minnesota St. Sen. Mee Moua, and Tennessee Rep. Steve Cohen). Also, removed Rhode Island Attorney General Patrick Lynch as a Clinton delegate, as it appears that he has not in fact endorsed.
DNC member Jon M. Ausman of Florida (thank you very much!) provided us with the Democratic delegate allocation for Florida, should the delegation be seated. The allocation is as follows:
Florida Democrats
| FL-D | Clinton | Edwards | Obama |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Congressional District | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 2nd Congressional District | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 3rd Congressional District | 2 | 3 | |
| 4th Congressional District | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| 5th Congressional District | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| 6th Congressional District | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| 7th Congressional District | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| 8th Congressional District | 3 | 1 | |
| 9th Congressional District | 3 | 1 | |
| 10th Congressional District | 3 | 2 | |
| 11th Congressional District | 2 | 3 | |
| 12th Congressional District | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| 13th Congressional District | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| 14th Congressional District | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| 15th Congressional District | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| 16th Congressional District | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| 17th Congressional District | 3 | 4 | |
| 18th Congressional District | 2 | 1 | |
| 19th Congressional District | 6 | 1 | |
| 20th Congressional District | 4 | 2 | |
| 21st Congressional District | 3 | 1 | |
| 22nd Congressional District | 3 | 2 | |
| 23rd Congressional District | 3 | 3 | |
| 24th Congressional District | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| 25th Congressional District | 3 | 1 | |
| At Large | 24 | 16 | |
| Pledged PLEO | 14 | 10 | |
| Total Pledged Delegates | 105 | 13 | 67 |
Additionally, of the 35 pledged alternates, 24 were pledged to Clinton, 1 was pledged to Edwards, and 10 were pledged to Obama.
From the results of this weekend's Maine Republican caucuses, it appears that Mitt Romney will win all 18 pledged delegates from Maine (3 per Congressional District and 12 at-large).
Added six delegates for Clinton (Pennsylvania Democratic Party chair T.J. Rooney and Rep. Paul Kanjorski, Rhode Island Attorney General Patrick Lynch, Tennessee Democratic Party vice chair Elisa Parker, and Texas Reps. Gene Green and Solomon Ortiz) and two delegate for Obama (Colorado DNC members Debbie Marquez and Jonathan Postal).
Added two delegates for Clinton (Arizona DNC member Carolyn Warner and North Carolina DNC member Susan Burgess), two delegates for McCain (Louisiana RNC members Ross Little and Roger Villere), and four delegates for Obama (Connecticut Rep. Rosa DeLauro, Minnesota Rep. Jim Oberstar, North Carolina DNC member Everett Ward, and Oregon Rep. Earl Blumenauer).
Added one delegate for Clinton (Washington Sen. Patty Murray), six delegates for McCain (Louisiana RNC member Kay Kellog Katz, New York RNC members Joseph N. Mondello, Alexander Treadwell, and Jennifer Saul Yaffa, Northern Marianas RNC member Roman Palacios, and Tennessee RNC member Van Hilleary), six delegates for Obama (California Rep. Anna Eshoo, Connecticut Reps. John Larson and Chris Murphy, Kansas DNC member Lee Kinch, North Dakota Rep, Earl Pomeroy, and Utah DNC member Bill Orton), and one delegate for Romney (Oklahoma RNC member Bunny Chambers).
Sen. John Edwards has withdrawn from the race. All of his delegates will be considered "Unallocated", with the exception of the pledged delegates already selected in the South Carolina and New Hampshire primaries. Edwards now has 12 delegates. I'll figure out some good way of dealing with the Edwards, Hunter, and Thompson delegates still on the listing in the near future.
Added three delegates for Clinton (Arkansas DNC member Don Beavers, California Rep. Maxine Waters, and Kansas DNC member Teresa Krusor). Also, switched Arizona superdelegate and Congressman Raul Grijalva's support from Edwards to Obama, as he has changed his endorsement.
The Associated Press is reporting that ex-Mayor Rudy Giuliani will withdraw from the race tomorrow in favor of Sen. John McCain. When this happens, all 7 of Giuliani's delegates, which are either unpledged or caucus selections, will become "Unallocated".
John McCain has won the Florida Republican primary, and so receives all 57 Florida delegates.
Voting in today's Florida primary will close between 19:00 and 20:00 Eastern Standard Time. Due to sanctions, 57 Republican delegates will be allocated to the winner of the Republican primary, while the 210 Democratic delegates (of which 185 are pledged) have been completely stripped. I will calculate the pledged delegate allocation of Florida for the Democrats, but this may be delayed, as none of its delegates actually count.
Added two delegates for Obama (Massachusetts Rep. Michael Capuano and Rhode Island Rep. Patrick Kennedy). Kansas Republican Party chair Kris Kobach has enorsed Romney, but is only "unpledged" if no candidate receives a plurality in two or more Congressional districts in the 9 February caucuses. Additionally, California Sen. Barbara Boxer has announced that she will vote for the winner of the 5 February California primary; her vote will be recorded once we know who wins that primary.
Added two delegates for Clinton (New York Democratic Party co-chairs June O'Neill and David Pollack), three delegates for McCain (Arizona RNC members Bruce Ash and Sharon Giese and South Dakota RNC member Mary Jean Jensen), and five delegates for Obama (California Rep. Xavier Becerra, Idaho DNC member Grant Burgoyne, Kansas Gov. Kathleen Sebelius, Massachusetts Sen. Edward Kennedy, and Tennessee House Speaker Pro Tempore Lois DeBerry). Also, Kansas RNC members Steve Cloud and Alicia Salisbury have endorsed McCain, but they are only "unpledged" if no candidate receives a plurality in two or more Congressional districts in the 9 February caucuses.
Voting in today's South Carolina Democratic primary will close at 19:00 EST. This primary elects 45 of South Carolina's 54 delegates (the remainder are unpledged superdelegates) using a proportional allocation system. The pledged delegate allocation for South Carolina is as follows:
Democrats (updated 22:22 EST)
| SC-D | Clinton | Edwards | Obama | Unallocated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Congressional District | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 2nd Congressional District | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| 3rd Congressional District | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 4th Congressional District | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 5th Congressional District | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 6th Congressional District | 1 | 5 | ||
| At Large | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Pledged PLEO | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Total Pledged Delegates | 12 | 8 | 25 |
Hillary Clinton has announced that she wants her delegates to support the seating of Michigan and Florida. However, we will not consider these delegates as counting until such time as the Credentials Committee of the Democratic National Convention, or the Convention itself, rules that they do.
Added three delegates for Clinton (Alaska Democratic Party chair Patti Higgins, Arizona DNC member Janice Brunson, and Rhode Island Democratic Party chair William Lynch). Also, noted Florida Senator Bill Nelson's impending endorsement of Clinton.
Representative Dennis Kucinich of Ohio has withdrawn from the race. His delegate (himself) is now "Unallocated", as is DNC member Jon Ausman of Florida.
The Louisiana Republican caucuses held Tuesday elected an uncommitted pro-life slate to the majority of slots in the state convention, with John McCain placing second and Ron Paul placing third. I don't expect to post any Republican Louisiana delegates until at least the primary on 9 February, when the winner receives 20 delegates if they get a majority; the state convention that selects 44 of the 47 national convention delegates (the other three are superdelegates) is on 16 February.
While this doesn't impact the delegate count, former candidate Duncan Hunter has endorsed Huckabee.
Added five delegates for Clinton (California Rep. Joe Baca, Delaware DNC members Rhett Ruggerio and Karen Valentine, Oklahoma DNC member Betty McElderry, and Pennsylvania Gov. Ed Rendell) and two delegates for Obama (former DNC chairman Fred Harris (NM) and Oklahoma Democratic Party vice chair Kitti Asberry).
Added a delegate for Clinton (Puerto Rico Democratic Party Chair Roberto Prats Palerm) and a delegate for Obama (Mississippi Rep. Bennie Thompson).
Ex-Sen. Fred Thompson of Tennessee has withdrawn from the race. I've switched all of his delegates (namely, superdelegates and Nevada projected delegates) except for his three Wyoming delegates (Bruce Brown of Crook, Ed Buchanan of Goshen, and Lorraine Quarberg of Hot Springs), which will remain allocated to Thompson until they announce some other preference.
After further examination, I've determined that it makes no sense to project delegates for Nevada Republicans and not project delegates for Iowa Republicans. Therefore, I'm adopting the Associated Press count for Iowa, which allocates 30 delegates to Huckabee and 7 delegates to Romney.
Added a delegate for Clinton (Arizona Rep. Ed Pastor) and a delegate for Obama (Virginia Rep. Rick Boucher). While North Dakota Republican Party Chair Gary Emineth has endorsed McCain, I'm not sure that he is an unpledged delegate, so no addition to McCain's tally will be made at this time.
After review, I (based on media sources) have determined that of the South Carolina delegates allocated after the sanction is taken into account, Sen. John McCain has received 19 delegates and Mike Huckabee has received 5 delegates.
Rep. Duncan Hunter of California has withdrawn from the race. Both of his pledged delegates are "soft" delegates (one technically unpledged delegate from Wyoming and one delegate from Nevada, which does not actually allocate delegates until April). The Nevada delegate will be considered "Unallocated", but the Wyoming delegate (Randi Craig of Sheridan) will remain allocated to Hunter for now.
Voting in today's South Carolina Republican primary will close at 19:00 EST. Due to sanctions, the Republicans have halved South Carolina's delegation from 47 to 24. Like the Michigan Republicans, the South Carolina Republicans have not released a revised formula to calculate a delegate allocation, so I'll report the full allocation of 47 pledged delegates unless such a formula is released. This allocation is as follows:
Republicans (updated 23:43 EST)
| SC-R | Giuliani | Huckabee | Hunter | McCain | Paul | Romney | Thompson | Unallocated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Congressional District | 3 | |||||||
| 2nd Congressional District | 3 | |||||||
| 3rd Congressional District | 3 | |||||||
| 4th Congressional District | 3 | |||||||
| 5th Congressional District | 3 | |||||||
| 6th Congressional District | 3 | |||||||
| At Large | 29 | |||||||
| Total Pre-Sanction Pledged Delegates | 9 | 38 |
Nevada Republican caucus results will probably be known by 12:30 PST, and Nevada Democratic caucus results will start coming in at 14:00 PST. There are 31 Republican and 25 Democratic delegates at stake, but these are not directly elected by the caucuses; rather (much as in Iowa), the caucuses elect delegates to further conventions that actually elect national convention delegates. The pledged delegate allocation for Nevada is as follows:
Democrats (updated 16:44 PST)
| NV-D | Clinton | Edwards | Kucinich | Obama | Unallocated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Congressional District | 3 | 3 | |||
| 2nd Congressional District | 2 | 4 | |||
| 3rd Congressional District | 2 | 2 | |||
| At Large | 3 | 3 | |||
| Pledged PLEO | 2 | 1 | |||
| Total Pledged Delegates | 12 | 13 |
Republicans (updated 15:13 EST)
| NV-R | Giuliani | Huckabee | Hunter | McCain | Paul | Romney | Thompson | Unallocated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Pledged Delegates | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 2 |
Added two delegates for Clinton (California Rep. Loretta Sanchez and Texas Rep. Silvestre Reyes) and one delegate for Obama (California Rep. Linda Sanchez).
Since I don't really feel like retyping the entire thing in HTML format, the detailed Michigan delegate allocation can be found on my post here.
I'm working on adding a complete table of superdelegate endorsements to the website. While it's still under construction, the Democratic page can be found here; the Republican page doesn't yet contain enough information to be worth uploading.
Added two delegates for Clinton (Colorado DNC member Ramona Martinez and Albuquerque, NM Mayor Martin Chavez), one delegate for Edwards (California DNC member John Perez), and three delegates for Obama (Maryland Rep. Albert Wynn and Vermont Sen. Patrick Leahy and Rep. Peter Welch). Also, noted the support for Michigan superdelegate Debbie Dingell for Clinton.
I've received a few questions regarding Obama's half-delegate. This is superdelegate Connie Borde, Democratic National Committee member for Democrats Abroad. Each of the 8 DNC members from Democrats Abroad receives ½ of a vote on the floor of the Democratic National Convention.
Added two delegates for Obama (California Rep. Adam Schiff, Colorado Rep. Ed Perlmutter).
After review, I (based on media sources) have determined that of the Michigan delegates allocated after the sanction is taken into account, Gov. Mitt Romney receives 23, Sen. John McCain receives 6, and Gov. Mike Huckabee receives 1. Additionally, I've calculated that if the Michigan Democratic delegates were seated, Sen. Hillary Clinton would receive 73 delegates and "Uncommitted" would receive 55. I'll post the full breakdown of these delegates later.
Just to make delegate calculations even more exciting, the Michigan Republican Party's press release about tonight's primary argues that Michigan's 60 delegates will all be seated at the convention. Since it doesn't appear that Michigan has a revised formula for allocation, and the 57 pledged delegates from Michigan don't divide nicely into 30, I'm providing a listing of 57 delegates in the table below and not adding them into the delegate allocation at the top until I come up with a decent way of figuring out which ones have been sanctioned.
Voting in today's Michigan Primary will close between 20:00 and 21:00 Eastern Standard Time. The delegate allocation for Michigan is somewhat bizarre due to sanctions imposed by both major parties. The Republicans have halved Michigan's delegation from 60 delegates to 30, but – at least to my knowledge – have not released details of the revised formula to calculate a Michigan delegate allocation. The Democrats, meanwhile, have stripped Michigan of all 156 of its delegates, of which 128 were pledged; furthermore, Obama and Edwards have removed their names from the Michigan ballot, telling their supporters to vote for "Uncommitted". While I will be calculating the pledged delegate allocation of Michigan at some point for the Democrats, it will not be a priority, as none of its delegates currently count. The pledged delegate allocation for Michigan Republicans is as follows:
Republicans (updated 13:00 EST)
| MI-R | Giuliani | Huckabee | Hunter | McCain | Paul | Romney | Thompson | Unallocated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Congressional District | 3 | |||||||
| 2nd Congressional District | 3 | |||||||
| 3rd Congressional District | 3 | |||||||
| 4th Congressional District | 3 | |||||||
| 5th Congressional District | 3 | |||||||
| 6th Congressional District | 3 | |||||||
| 7th Congressional District | 3 | |||||||
| 8th Congressional District | 3 | |||||||
| 9th Congressional District | 3 | |||||||
| 10th Congressional District | 3 | |||||||
| 11st Congressional District | 3 | |||||||
| 12nd Congressional District | 3 | |||||||
| 13rd Congressional District | 3 | |||||||
| 14th Congressional District | 3 | |||||||
| 15th Congressional District | 3 | |||||||
| At Large | 2 | 4 | 6 | |||||
| Total Pre-Sanction Pledged Delegates | 2 | 10 | 45 |
Added two delegates for Clinton (California Rep. Mike Thompson and New Mexico Lt. Gov. Diane Denish) and one delegate for Obama (California Rep. Zoe Lofgren). Also, noted the support for Michigan Rep. Sander Levin for Clinton; Levin is not added as a Clinton delegate, since Michigan's Democratic delegation is currently under sanction.
Added seven delegates for Clinton (Arkansas DNC members Karla Bradley and Martha Dixon, Connecticut DNC member Ellen Camhi, Indiana Democratic Party Chair Dan Parker and DNC members Phoebe Crane and Bob Pastrick, and Washington ex-Speaker of the House Tom Foley), one delegate for Edwards (Oklahoma DNC member Jim Frasier), and eight delegates for Obama (Los Angeles, CA Council Pres. Eric Garcetti, Connecticut St. Reps. Martin Dunleavy and Stephen Fontana, Idaho DNC member Gail Bray, Missouri Sen. Claire McCaskill, Nebraska Sen. Ben Nelson, and North Dakota DNC members James Maxson and Mary Wakefield). Also, switched North Carolina superdelegate and Congressman G.K. Butterfield's support from Edwards to Obama, as he has changed his endorsement.
Added a delegate for Obama (Arizona Gov. Janet Napolitano).
Governor Bill Richardson of New Mexico has withdrawn from the race. As all of his delegates were unpledged, all 21 Richardson delegates are now "Unallocated".
Added five delegates for Obama (California Reps. Barbara Lee, George Miller and Nancy Pelosi, Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry, and South Dakota Sen. Tim Johnson). While Nancy Pelosi has not (and will likely not, as she is Speaker of the House) formally endorsed Obama, it is widely believed that the Miller endorsement is a sign of Pelosi's will.
The Associated Press is reporting that Gov. Bill Richardson will drop out of the race. The Richardson campaign is denying these reports, so I'll retain Richardson's delegate count for now. Note that all of Richardson's delegates are unpledged.
Added nine delegates for Clinton (American Samoa Gov. Togiola Tulafono, Party Chair Fagafaga Langkilde, DNC members Deanna Fuimaono and Nathaniel Savali, Delaware Gov. Ruth Ann Minner, Georgia Labor Commissioner Michael Thurmond, Nevada Rep. Shelley Berkley, New Jersey DNC member June Fisher, and Wisconsin DNC member Tim Sullivan) and one delegate for Obama (Atlanta, GA Mayor Shirley Franklin). Also, switched Virginia superdelegate and Democratic Party Chair C. Richard Cranwell's support from Obama to Edwards, as the report I previously read on his endorsement was incorrect.
Voting in the New Hampshire Primary will close between 19:00 and 20:00 Eastern Time. This primary actually elects the national convention delegates for both parties (22 for the Democrats, 12 for the Republicans), using a proportional allocation system. Note that there are additionally 8 unpledged Democratic delegates, of which 3 support Clinton and 3 support Obama. The Republicans have, incidentally, sanctioned New Hampshire; it originally had 9 additional pledged delegates as well as 3 unpledged delegates. The pledged delegate allocation for New Hampshire is as follows:
Democrats (updated 23:56 EST)
| NH-D | Clinton | Edwards | Kucinich | Obama | Richardson | Unallocated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Congressional District | 3 | 1 | 3 | |||
| 2nd Congressional District | 3 | 1 | 3 | |||
| At Large | 2 | 1 | 2 | |||
| Pledged PLEO | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Total Pledged Delegates | 9 | 4 | 9 |
Republicans (updated 23:57 EST)
| NH-R | Giuliani | Huckabee | Hunter | McCain | Paul | Romney | Thompson | Unallocated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Pledged Delegates | 1 | 7 | 4 |
Added two delegates for Clinton (Puerto Rico Sen. Kenneth McClintock and DNC member Francisco Domenech) and a delegate for Obama (Wisconsin Gov. Jim Doyle).
The Wyoming Republican County Caucuses are held today, selecting 12 delegates (as well as 12 alternates) to the National Convention. In addition to these delegates, Wyoming has 2 at-large delegates selected at the State Convention at the end of May. Wyoming has been sanctioned by the Republican National Committee for having an early selection process; originally, they had 14 additional at-large delegates, including 3 superdelegates. The pledged delegate allocation for Wyoming is as follows:
Republicans (updated 18:14 MST)
| WY-R | Giuliani | Huckabee | Hunter | McCain | Paul | Romney | Thompson | Unallocated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albany County | 1 | |||||||
| Campbell County | 1 | |||||||
| Converse County | 1 | |||||||
| Crook County | 1 | |||||||
| Fremont County | 1 | |||||||
| Goshen County | 1 | |||||||
| Hot Springs County | 1 | |||||||
| Laramie County | 1 | |||||||
| Sheridan County | 1 | |||||||
| Sweetwater County | 1 | |||||||
| Teton County | 1 | |||||||
| Uinta County | 1 | |||||||
| At Large | 2 | |||||||
| Total Pledged Delegates | 1 | 8 | 3 | 2 |
Added a delegate for Sen. Clinton (Virginia Del. Jennifer McClellan).
Senators Joe Biden of Delaware and Chris Dodd of Connecticut have withdrawn from the race. As all of their delegates were unpledged, all 19 Biden and Dodd delegates are now "Unallocated".
Due to a dispute over the calculation of Republican delegate allocation from Iowa, I have revoked yesterday's tally of pledged Iowa Republican delegates. All 37 pledged Iowa Republican delegates are now considered "Unallocated". Specifically, CNN's tally of these delegates gives 17 delegates to Huckabee, 12 to Romney, 3 to Thompson, 3 to McCain, and 2 to Paul, while the Associated Press's tally gives 30 delegates to Huckabee and 7 to Romney. Attempts to calculate the allocation myself have been futile, as there is no formal system to allocate national party delegates from Iowa; the delegates are chosen at the state party convention on 14 June. For reference, Gov. Huckabee led in all Congressional districts except for the 1st District, which supported Gov. Romney.
At 22:19 CST, CNN is reporting that Sen. Joe Biden will drop out of the race. When this is confirmed, all 4 delegates for Biden will be deallocated, as they are officially unpledged, although they will be reassigned as necessary.
At 21:37 CST, CNN is reporting that Sen. Chris Dodd will drop out of the race. When this is confirmed, all 15 delegates for Dodd will be deallocated, as they are officially unpledged, although they will be reassigned as necessary.
The Iowa Precinct Caucuses convene between 18:30 and 19:00 Central Time, lasting an hour or two. These caucuses select County Convention delegates, which in turn elect delegates to Congressional District Conventions and the State Convention. These conventions elect the national convention delegates; no national convention delegates are allocated tonight.
Notwithstanding the lack of actual national delegates allocated in tonight's caucuses, it is possible to project the delegate allocation based on tonight's results. Iowa has 57 Democratic delegates (45 pledged and 12 unpledged) and 40 Republican delegates (37 allocated here, although technically unpledged, and 3 unpledged superdelegates). Note that 1 unpledged Democratic delegate supports Clinton, 4 support Edwards, and 2 support Obama. The projected pledged delegate allocation for Iowa is as follows:
Democrats (updated 22:19 CST)
| IA-D | Biden | Clinton | Dodd | Edwards | Kucinich | Obama | Richardson | Unallocated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Congressional District | 2 | 2 | 2 | |||||
| 2nd Congressional District | 2 | 2 | 3 | |||||
| 3rd Congressional District | 2 | 2 | 2 | |||||
| 4th Congressional District | 2 | 2 | 2 | |||||
| 5th Congressional District | 2 | 1 | 1 | |||||
| At Large | 3 | 3 | 4 | |||||
| Pledged PLEO | 2 | 2 | 2 | |||||
| Total Pledged Delegates | 15 | 14 | 16 |
Added a delegate for Clinton (New Jersey Rep. Donald Payne). Also, changed 0.5 delegates to ½ delegates, as I found that the decimal point wasn't always obvious.
Added a delegate for Clinton (Washington Sen. Maria Cantwell).
Added a delegate for Obama (North Dakota Sen. Kent Conrad).
Added a delegate for Obama (Massachusetts Rep. William Delahunt).
Added a delegate for Clinton (California Rep. Lynn Woolsey). Also, fixed a typo that was giving the Democratic "Unallocated" tally twenty extra delegates.
Delegate count posted today.
The current delegate count consists entirely of "superdelegates" -- those delegates permitted to attend their respective national conventions by virtue of their positions as party leaders. These include state party chairmen, members of the parties' National Committees, and (for Democrats only) members of Congress, governors, and former major party leaders. While these officials are officially "Unpledged", many superdelegates have made their endorsement for President known, and are as such included in the delegate count for the candidate that they have endorsed.