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<channel>
	<title>Goobergunch Political Report</title>
	<atom:link href="http://www.goobergunch.net/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://www.goobergunch.net</link>
	<description>Reality-based thoughts on current affairs.</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Tue, 10 Apr 2012 19:00:24 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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		<item>
		<title>Game Over</title>
		<link>http://www.goobergunch.net/2012/04/game-over/</link>
		<comments>http://www.goobergunch.net/2012/04/game-over/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 10 Apr 2012 19:00:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Goobergunch</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Election 2012]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RNC 2012]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.goobergunch.net/?p=2526</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Rick Santorum has finally given in to the inevitable: Republican presidential candidate Rick Santorum will announce he will suspend his campaign on Tuesday at an event in Gettysburg, Pennsylvania, a senior adviser to the campaign tells CNN. And with that, I&#8217;m suspending coverage of the Republican nomination race until the convention. While Mitt Romney is [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Rick Santorum has finally <a href="http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/04/10/santorum-to-suspend-campaign/" target="_blank">given in to the inevitable</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p><strong></strong>Republican presidential candidate Rick Santorum will announce he will suspend his campaign on Tuesday at an event in Gettysburg, Pennsylvania, a senior adviser to the campaign tells CNN.</p></blockquote>
<p>And with that, I&#8217;m suspending coverage of the Republican nomination race until the convention. While Mitt Romney is still 530 delegates short of the nomination, neither Santorum nor Newt Gingrich are in any position to stop Romney from steamrolling over the remaining states and win on the first ballot. The tally at this time:</p>
<p><center><strong>2012 Republican National Convention</strong><br />
<em><small>(<strong>1144</strong> delegates needed to nominate)</small></em><br />
<small><a href="http://www.goobergunch.net/2012-republican-convention/">State-by-State Allocation</a><br />
</small></center></p>
<table border="1" align="center">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td></td>
<th>Gingrich</th>
<th>Paul</th>
<th>Romney</th>
<th>Santorum</th>
<th><em>Unallocated</em></th>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center">Bound</td>
<td align="center">132</td>
<td align="center">25</td>
<td align="center">451</td>
<td align="center">167</td>
<td align="center"><em>939</em></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center">Unbound</td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center">4</td>
<td align="center">128</td>
<td align="center">43</td>
<td align="center"><em>277</em></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center">Automatic</td>
<td align="center">2</td>
<td align="center">1</td>
<td align="center">35</td>
<td align="center">2</td>
<td align="center"><em>80</em></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center">Total</td>
<th>134</th>
<th>30</th>
<th>614</th>
<th>212</th>
<th><em>1296</em></th>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>(Turns out the West Virginia party chair from yesterday <a href="http://campaign.r20.constantcontact.com/render?llr=tl4cspiab&amp;v=001AOTdCtwnZM9-VWrR9taEa3KWwmKvePDSsH3NYR31JyhiCX7z6O4UAefPdH8A18bnK-xZTIEEaP7kV6_f3e1k-XMBhb7eA2g7kUluIDpTMpFpvIhMP1KmFA%3D%3D" target="_blank">announced his resignation</a> last week, so Romney gets rolled back to 614.)</p>
<p>Most importantly, the nomination battle lasted until the start of baseball season. Go Giants!</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Romney Delegate No. 615</title>
		<link>http://www.goobergunch.net/2012/04/romney-delegate-no-615/</link>
		<comments>http://www.goobergunch.net/2012/04/romney-delegate-no-615/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 10 Apr 2012 04:00:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Goobergunch</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Election 2012]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RNC 2012]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.goobergunch.net/?p=2523</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Mitt Romney already had two endorsements from West Virginia RNC members. Here&#8217;s the third: Mitt Romney, the former Massachusetts governor who is considered one of the front runners in the 2012 Republican presidential primary, is the &#8220;right person&#8221; for the job, West Virginia Republican Party Chairman Mike Stuart said April 9.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Mitt Romney already had two endorsements from West Virginia RNC members. <a href="http://www.wvnstv.com/story/17368786/wv-republican-party-endorses-romney" target="_blank">Here&#8217;s the third</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>Mitt Romney, the former Massachusetts governor who is considered one of the front runners in the 2012 Republican presidential primary, is the &#8220;right person&#8221; for the job, West Virginia Republican Party Chairman Mike Stuart said April 9.</p></blockquote>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>The 2012 Wisconsin, Maryland, and D.C. Primaries</title>
		<link>http://www.goobergunch.net/2012/04/the-2012-wisconsin-maryland-and-d-c-primaries/</link>
		<comments>http://www.goobergunch.net/2012/04/the-2012-wisconsin-maryland-and-d-c-primaries/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Apr 2012 00:00:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Goobergunch</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Election 2012]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GPR Live]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RNC 2012]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.goobergunch.net/?p=2500</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It&#8217;s pretty obvious that Mitt Romney&#8217;s going to be the Republican Party&#8217;s nominee for President in 2012. (Like I&#8217;ve been saying for months.) But since there are still other candidates in the race, and Romney still has a ways to go to get to 1144 delegates, the delegate counting presses on. At 8:00 Central Time, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s pretty obvious that Mitt Romney&#8217;s going to be the Republican Party&#8217;s nominee for President in 2012. (Like I&#8217;ve been saying for months.) But since there are still other candidates in the race, and Romney still has a ways to go to get to 1144 delegates, the delegate counting presses on.</p>
<p>At 8:00 Central Time, polls close in Wisconsin, which allocates its 42 delegates tonight. The allocation is easy&#8212;18 delegates to the statewide winner, plus 3 delegates for each Congressional district won, as follows:</p>
<table border="1" align="center">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td align="center">WI-R</td>
<th>Romney</th>
<th>Santorum</th>
<th><em>Unallocated</em></th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>CD 1</th>
<td align="center">3</td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>CD 2</th>
<td align="center">3</td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>CD 3</th>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center">3</td>
<td align="center"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>CD 4</th>
<td align="center">3</td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>CD 5</th>
<td align="center">3</td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>CD 6</th>
<td align="center">3</td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>CD 7</th>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center">3</td>
<td align="center"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>CD 8</th>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center">3</td>
<td align="center"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>At Large</th>
<td align="center">18</td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>Total</th>
<th>33</th>
<th>9</th>
<th></th>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="8" align="center"><small><em><small>Last updated 0:39 Central Daylight Time</small></em></small></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>I put Wisconsin first, out of poll-closing-time order, because it&#8217;s really the only state where Santorum has a chance of doing decently. Polls in both Maryland and the District of Columbia are now closed. The 16 pledged delegates from the District of Columbia are allocated to the winner of tonight&#8217;s primary. That winner is <strong>Mitt Romney</strong>. Maryland&#8217;s 37 delegates are allocated similarly to Wisconsin&#8217;s, except the statewide winner only gets 13 at-large delegates.</p>
<table border="1" align="center">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td align="center">MD-R</td>
<th>Romney</th>
<th>Santorum</th>
<th><em>Unallocated</em></th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>CD 1</th>
<td align="center">3</td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>CD 2</th>
<td align="center">3</td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>CD 3</th>
<td align="center">3</td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>CD 4</th>
<td align="center">3</td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>CD 5</th>
<td align="center">3</td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>CD 6</th>
<td align="center">3</td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>CD 7</th>
<td align="center">3</td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>CD 8</th>
<td align="center">3</td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>At Large</th>
<td align="center">13</td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>Total</th>
<th>37</th>
<th></th>
<th></th>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="8" align="center"><small><em><small>Last updated 23:07 Eastern Daylight Time</small></em></small></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>North Dakota Brokering</title>
		<link>http://www.goobergunch.net/2012/04/north-dakota-brokering/</link>
		<comments>http://www.goobergunch.net/2012/04/north-dakota-brokering/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Apr 2012 22:00:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Goobergunch</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Election 2012]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RNC 2012]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.goobergunch.net/?p=2493</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[So the North Dakota delegation to the Republican National Committee was supposed to be informally allocated based on the results of the Super Tuesday caucuses, won by Rick Santorum. Well, the actual delegates were selected this weekend at the state convention, and&#8230;. BISMARCK, N.D. (AP) — Supporters of Republican presidential candidates Ron Paul and Rick [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>So the North Dakota delegation to the Republican National Committee was supposed to be informally allocated based on the <a href="http://www.northdakotagop.org/caucus/" target="_blank">results of the Super Tuesday caucuses</a>, won by Rick Santorum. Well, the actual delegates were <a href="http://www.jamestownsun.com/event/article/id/157875/group/homepage/" target="_blank">selected this weekend</a> at the state convention, and&#8230;.</p>
<blockquote><p>BISMARCK, N.D. (AP) — Supporters of Republican presidential candidates Ron Paul and Rick Santorum protested the North Dakota GOP&#8217;s process for choosing national convention delegates on Saturday, with a former state party chairman calling it a &#8220;railroad job.&#8221;</p>
<p>The two candidates&#8217; backers claimed a suggested slate of 25 national convention delegates was stacked with fans of Mitt Romney, who finished behind Paul and Santorum during North Dakota&#8217;s March 6 presidential preference caucuses.</p></blockquote>
<p>Numerically?</p>
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p><a href="https://twitter.com/search/%2523NDGOP">#NDGOP</a> national delegate slate gives Paul 2, Santorum 6, Romney 20.Delegates voting now. Actual results coming.</p>
<p>— Luke Hellier (@lukehellier) <a href="https://twitter.com/lukehellier/status/186111569669787648" data-datetime="2012-03-31T15:23:50+00:00">March 31, 2012</a></p></blockquote>
<p><script charset="utf-8" type="text/javascript" src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js"></script>Contrast with the caucus-based projection: Santorum 11, Paul 8, Romney 7, Gingrich 2. Romney gains 13 delegates.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>In other delegate news, the Minnesota 7th Congressional District convention was held this weekend, and selects its three delegates to the national convention:</p>
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p>@<a href="https://twitter.com/FHQ">FHQ</a> Santorum also lost a &#8220;projected&#8221; delegate to Ron Paul in the MN-07 CD Convention. Santorum ended up with 2 Delegates, Paul 1. <a href="https://twitter.com/search/%2523mngop">#mngop</a></p>
<p>— Minnesota Mike (@MinnesotaMike1) <a href="https://twitter.com/MinnesotaMike1/status/186249993450029056" data-datetime="2012-04-01T00:33:53+00:00">April 1, 2012</a></p></blockquote>
<p>As I, unlike the AP, didn&#8217;t project any delegates based on the earlier Minnesota caucus results, all three of these are new delegates in my count.</p>
<p>The remaining Congressional district delegates will be selected over the next three weeks.</p>
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		<title>So, About Those Huntsman Delegates</title>
		<link>http://www.goobergunch.net/2012/03/so-about-those-huntsman-delegates/</link>
		<comments>http://www.goobergunch.net/2012/03/so-about-those-huntsman-delegates/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 27 Mar 2012 22:00:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Goobergunch</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Election 2012]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RNC 2012]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.goobergunch.net/?p=2486</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[So, way back in January, Jon Huntsman was allocated 2 delegates in New Hampshire and promptly dropped out of the race. Now: Romney for President today announced that former Jon Huntsman delegate Paul Collins and former Huntsman alternate delegate Brad Blais will support Mitt Romney. So this means a delegate gets moved from the Huntsman [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>So, <a href="http://www.goobergunch.net/2012/01/the-2012-new-hampshire-primary/">way back in January</a>, Jon Huntsman was allocated 2 delegates in New Hampshire and promptly dropped out of the race. <a href="http://www.mittromney.com/news/press/2012/03/mitt-romney-gains-former-huntsman-delegate" target="_blank">Now</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>Romney for President today announced that former Jon Huntsman delegate Paul Collins and former Huntsman alternate delegate Brad Blais will support Mitt Romney.</p></blockquote>
<p>So this means a delegate gets moved from the Huntsman column to the Romney column, right? Unfortunately, it&#8217;s a bit more complicated than that. See, the New Hampshire allocation is based on the state losing half of its delegates due to RNC sanctions for having an early primary. And the <a href="http://www.sos.nh.gov/presprim2012/Delegates/2012%20Delegates%20&amp;%20Alternates.pdf" target="_blank">list of delegates</a> provided by the New Hampshire Secretary of State gives a delegate slate that does <em>not</em> reflect those sanctions. Meaning that there are 3 delegates listed for Huntsman, when only 2 will be able to vote at the convention.</p>
<p>(Looking to the 2008 convention, when New Hampshire was similarly sanctioned, doesn&#8217;t help. The state actually announced 24 votes for McCain from the convention floor, even though only 12 were counted by the Chair.)</p>
<p>In the spirit of not being helpful to the delegate count, we have <a href="http://www.unionleader.com/article/20120327/NEWS0602/703229995" target="_blank">this from the Manchester Union Leader</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>Huntsman&#8217;s other two New Hampshire delegates, consultant Sarah Crawford Stewart and business executive Renee Plummer, told the Status this morning they remain uncommitted. Plummer said she intends to remain uncommitted until the Republican National Convention in late summer.</p></blockquote>
<p>In the spirit of trying to make some kind of sense out of all of this, here&#8217;s what I&#8217;m going to do with the two Huntsman delegates:</p>
<ul>
<li>The Union Leader claims that Huntsman&#8217;s &#8220;delegates were released when he dropped out&#8221;, but Huntsman&#8217;s 16 January statement was that he was suspending his campaign&#8212;not formally withdrawing. As such, I think this assertion is dubious. However, it is likely that if Huntsman has not yet released his delegates, he will do so prior to the convention. Huntsman supports Romney, and holding his delegates only hinders Romney from getting to 1144 delegates. Therefore, the two delegates now recorded as pledged to Huntsman will be considered unpledged. The Huntsman column will be removed from the delegate board.</li>
<li>There are no indications that the Republican Party is likely to restore New Hampshire to 24 delegates. They didn&#8217;t do so in 2008, and that convention wasn&#8217;t at all contentious. Therefore, I&#8217;m not going to adopt the alternative count that conforms with the New Hampshire Secretary of State&#8217;s list.</li>
<li>The delegate preferences of the three Huntsman delegates appears to be: Romney 1, Uncommitted 2. Given both the New Hampshire delegation&#8217;s overall lean and Huntsman&#8217;s endorsement of Romney, I&#8217;m inclined to predict that the rest of the Huntsman delegates are more likely to break to Romney than to any other candidate. So I&#8217;m going to give the benefit of the doubt to Collins&#8217;s seating and declare the current breakdown to be: Romney 1, Uncommitted 1.</li>
<li>If, later in the primary process, it appears that the result of the first ballot is seriously in doubt, I&#8217;ll be prepared to actually contact the Republican National Committee, or the New Hampshire Republican Party, and seek clarification about the composition of the New Hampshire delegate slate.</li>
</ul>
<p>So yeah, this has been a really long-winded way of allocating Romney Delegate No. 515.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>The 2012 Louisiana Primary</title>
		<link>http://www.goobergunch.net/2012/03/the-2012-louisiana-primary/</link>
		<comments>http://www.goobergunch.net/2012/03/the-2012-louisiana-primary/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 25 Mar 2012 01:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Goobergunch</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Election 2012]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GPR Live]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RNC 2012]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.goobergunch.net/?p=2478</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;m not quite sure what to make of the RNC delegate count updates any more, since they haven&#8217;t taken into account, for instance, the Alaska shift. That being said, I&#8217;m still willing to take their word on tweaking Illinois to Romney 42, Santorum 12, based on the current leading delegates in the 16th and 18th [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;m not quite sure what to make of the <a href="http://www.gop.com/index.php/comms/comments/rnc_primary_update/" target="_blank">RNC delegate count updates</a> any more, since they haven&#8217;t taken into account, for instance, <a href="http://www.goobergunch.net/2012/03/alaska-adjustments/">the Alaska shift</a>. That being said, I&#8217;m still willing to take their word on tweaking Illinois to Romney 42, Santorum 12, based on the current leading delegates in the 16th and 18th districts. If the lead shifts when the results of the Illinois vote are finalized, I&#8217;ll mention it.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, polls have now closed in Louisiana. Louisiana has 46 delegates, of which 3 are RNC members and 23 will be named at the state convention in June. That leaves 20 delegates who will be allocated based on the results of tonight&#8217;s primary. There&#8217;s a 25% threshold for receiving delegates. The tally:</p>
<table border="1" align="center">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td align="center">LA-R</td>
<th>Gingrich</th>
<th>Romney</th>
<th>Santorum</th>
<th><em>Unallocated</em></th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>At Large</th>
<th></th>
<th>5</th>
<th>10</th>
<th><em>5</em></th>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="8" align="center"><small><em><small>Last updated 22:12 Central Daylight Time</small></em></small></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p><strong>UPDATE [22:19 CDT]:</strong> We&#8217;re probably done for the night. 4 of the remaining 5 delegates will be officially &#8220;Uncommitted&#8221;, and we won&#8217;t have a chance to see who they prefer until they&#8217;re actually named in June. The fifth delegate will probably also be &#8220;Uncommitted&#8221;, but there&#8217;s a chance it could become Romney&#8217;s sixth delegate instead.</p>
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		<title>Alaska Adjustments</title>
		<link>http://www.goobergunch.net/2012/03/alaska-adjustments/</link>
		<comments>http://www.goobergunch.net/2012/03/alaska-adjustments/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Mar 2012 10:00:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Goobergunch</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Election 2012]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RNC 2012]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.goobergunch.net/?p=2474</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Final results are in from Super Tuesday&#8217;s Alaska caucuses, and the revised delegate count is: Romney 8, Santorum 8, Paul 6, Gingrich 2. Santorum picks up a delegate and Gingrich loses one. No word yet on who, if anybody, Alaska&#8217;s three RNC member delegates are supporting.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.alaskadispatch.com/article/gop-vote-finalized-rick-santorum-picks-alaska-delegate" target="_blank">Final results are in</a> from Super Tuesday&#8217;s Alaska caucuses, and the revised delegate count is: Romney 8, Santorum 8, Paul 6, Gingrich 2. Santorum picks up a delegate and Gingrich loses one.</p>
<p>No word yet on who, if anybody, Alaska&#8217;s three RNC member delegates are supporting.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>The 2012 Illinois Primary</title>
		<link>http://www.goobergunch.net/2012/03/the-2012-illinois-primary/</link>
		<comments>http://www.goobergunch.net/2012/03/the-2012-illinois-primary/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Mar 2012 00:00:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Goobergunch</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Election 2012]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GPR Live]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RNC 2012]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.goobergunch.net/?p=2452</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Polls have now closed in Illinois, which today is selecting 54 delegates to the Republican National Convention via direct election. The presidential preference vote reported by the media will be completely meaningless in terms of delegate allocation. Instead, voters in each Congressional district will be voting for specific delegates. (Also, Santorum failed to file delegate [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Polls have now closed in Illinois, which today is selecting 54 delegates to the Republican National Convention via direct election. The presidential preference vote reported by the media will be completely meaningless in terms of delegate allocation. Instead, voters in each Congressional district will be voting for specific delegates. (Also, Santorum failed to file delegate slates in the 4th, 5th, 7th, and 13th districts, so he&#8217;s not getting any delegates there.) Here&#8217;s the outcome:</p>
<table border="1" align="center">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td align="center">IL-R</td>
<th>Gingrich</th>
<th>Paul</th>
<th>Romney</th>
<th>Santorum</th>
<th><em>Unallocated</em></th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>CD 1</th>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center">3</td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>CD 2</th>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center">3</td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>CD 3</th>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center">3</td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>CD 4</th>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center">2</td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>CD 5</th>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center">3</td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>CD 6</th>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center">3</td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>CD 7</th>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center">2</td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>CD 8</th>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center">3</td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>CD 9</th>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center">3</td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>CD 10</th>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center">3</td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>CD 11</th>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center">3</td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>CD 12</th>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center">3</td>
<td align="center"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>CD 13</th>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center">3</td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>CD 14</th>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center">3</td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>CD 15</th>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center">4</td>
<td align="center"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>CD 16</th>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center">1</td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"><em>2</em></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>CD 17</th>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center">3</td>
<td align="center"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>CD 18</th>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center">3</td>
<td align="center"></td>
<td align="center"><em>1</em></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>Total</th>
<th></th>
<th></th>
<th>41</th>
<th>10</th>
<th><em>3</em></th>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="8" align="center"><small><em><small>Last updated 23:07 Central Daylight Time</small></em></small></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>The Illinois Republican Party State Convention will select 12 additional delegates to the convention in mid-June.</p>
<p><strong>UPDATE [19:00 CDT]:</strong> In non-Illinois news, Carlos Méndez, Puerto Rico Republican Party chair, <a href="http://www.mittromney.com/news/press/2012/03/mitt-romney-announces-support-aguadilla-puerto-rico-mayor-carlos-m%C3%A9ndez-gains-one" target="_blank">has switched his endorsement</a> from Gingrich to Romney. This means that Romney has the support of all 23 Puerto Rico delegates.</p>
<p><strong>UPDATE [23:21 CDT]: </strong>This might be all the delegates I&#8217;m going to be able allocate tonight. All precincts are reporting in CD 18, and a Santorum delegate is leading the final Gingrich delegate by 109 votes. In CD 16, 3 precincts are outstanding, and a number of delegates are within a thousand votes of each other. I might be able to allocate the final two CD 16 delegates when those last few precincts come in, but there&#8217;s no guarantee.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>A Wyoming Shift</title>
		<link>http://www.goobergunch.net/2012/03/a-wyoming-shift/</link>
		<comments>http://www.goobergunch.net/2012/03/a-wyoming-shift/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 20 Mar 2012 18:00:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Goobergunch</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Election 2012]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RNC 2012]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.goobergunch.net/?p=2440</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Remember that disputed Wyoming delegate? UPDATE [16:56 MST]:Fun! PLEASE NOTE: PARK COUNTY RESULTS ARE NOW IN CONTESTED MODE AND ARE NOT CONSIDERED FINAL, BUT PENDING. That’s a Santorum delegate at the moment; the caucus vote in Park County was reported as Santorum 29-27 Romney. Well, the Park County Republican Executive Committee voted last night to [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Remember that <a href="http://www.goobergunch.net/2012/03/the-2012-wyoming-county-conventions/">disputed Wyoming delegate</a>?</p>
<blockquote><p><strong>UPDATE [16:56 MST]:</strong><a href="https://www.facebook.com/WYGOP/posts/10150727839926810" target="_blank">Fun!</a></p>
<blockquote>
<h6 data-ft="{&quot;type&quot;:1}">PLEASE NOTE: PARK COUNTY RESULTS ARE NOW IN CONTESTED MODE AND ARE NOT CONSIDERED FINAL, BUT PENDING.</h6>
</blockquote>
<p>That’s a Santorum delegate at the moment; the caucus vote in Park County was reported as Santorum 29-27 Romney.</p></blockquote>
<p>Well, the Park County Republican Executive Committee <a href="https://www.facebook.com/WYGOP/posts/10150747330211810" target="_blank">voted last night</a> to award the delegate in question to Romney. So the revised Wyoming delegate count to date: Romney 9, Santorum 2, Paul 1, with 17 &#8220;unallocated&#8221;.</p>
<p>And while we&#8217;re on the subject of challenged delegates, apparently the Santorum campaign intends to pursue <a href="http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2012/03/santorum-campaign-floats-new-delegate-math-showing-much-tighter-race-with-romney/" target="_blank">a credentials challenge against the Arizona and Florida delegations</a> for being winner-take-all in violation of Republican party rules. Presently, Romney will get all 79 delegates from those states. The Santorum challenge would allocate those state delegates as follows:</p>
<table border="1">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td></td>
<th>Gingrich</th>
<th>Paul</th>
<th>Romney</th>
<th>Santorum</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>AZ</th>
<td align="center">5</td>
<td align="center">2</td>
<td align="center">14</td>
<td align="center">8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>FL</th>
<td align="center">16</td>
<td align="center">4</td>
<td align="center">23</td>
<td align="center">7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center"></td>
<th>21</th>
<th>6</th>
<th>37</th>
<th>15</th>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>In total, this challenge would remove 42 delegates from the Romney column if successful.</p>
<p>I still think Romney gets the nomination on the first ballot, and I suspect tonight&#8217;s Illinois results will help solidify those expectations. But this year&#8217;s convention could still be quite entertaining.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Romney Wins Puerto Rico</title>
		<link>http://www.goobergunch.net/2012/03/romney-wins-puerto-rico/</link>
		<comments>http://www.goobergunch.net/2012/03/romney-wins-puerto-rico/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 18 Mar 2012 22:59:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Goobergunch</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Election 2012]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RNC 2012]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.goobergunch.net/?p=2435</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Romney gets all 20 pledged Puerto Rico delegates:  Romney will top 50 percent and win all 20 of the island&#8217;s delegates to the Republican presidential nominating convention in August. And Santorum looks silly for campaigning there.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Romney <a href="http://www.mercurynews.com/presidentelect/ci_20202610/mitt-romney-sails-puerto-rico-win-illinois-up" target="_blank">gets all 20</a> pledged Puerto Rico delegates:</p>
<blockquote><p> Romney will top 50 percent and win all 20 of the island&#8217;s delegates to the Republican presidential nominating convention in August.</p></blockquote>
<p>And Santorum looks silly for campaigning there.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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