- Jon Huntsman dropped out and endorsed Mitt Romney. He keeps his two delegates from New Hampshire until they say who they’re endorsing.
- Rick Perry dropped out and endorsed Newt Gingrich. His four delegates are removed, as they were all formally unpledged.
- Rick Santorum was declared the winner in Iowa. Not that it really matters at this point.
- Romney superdelegate added: Rich Williamson (IL).
(1144 delegates needed to nominate)
| Gingrich | Huntsman | Paul | Romney | Santorum | Unallocated | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected | 29 | 2 | 8 | 73 | 3 | 2039 |
| Automatic | 3 | 1 | 22 | 1 | 105 | |
| Total | 32 | 2 | 9 | 95 | 4 | 2144 |
19 January 2012
Pre-SC Updates
2 Comments
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Just wondering if you can update this since Santorum won Iowa. Doesn’t the count change for delegates now? Making Romney’s less? Just wondering b/c the News media lies a lot about who is winning. Delegate count is all that matters…. but they fail to ever point this out. Thanks.
Comment by Sarah Allen — 20 January 2012 @ 09:55 CT
The delegate count for Iowa is at best a rough estimate. (There’s a decent argument that it’s not even calculable at this point and should just be removed.) However, from a delegate perspective Romney and Santorum are probably roughly tied in Iowa — I’ve currently estimated them each getting 7 delegates. That doesn’t change whether either Romney or Santorum got the formal lead.
I’d compare it to the 2008 Missouri Democratic primary last year, which Obama won by about eleven thousand votes but tied Clinton in delegates, 36-36.
The next Iowa update will likely be after the county conventions on 10 March, unless a candidate drops out before then (in which case their Iowa delegates will be deallocated).
Comment by Goobergunch — 20 January 2012 @ 22:27 CT