Goobergunch Political Report

2012 Republican National Convention
(1144 delegates needed to nominate)
Gingrich Huntsman Paul Romney Santorum Unallocated
Selected 29 2 8 73 3 2039
Automatic 3 1 22 1 105
Total 32 2 9 95 4 2144

30 June 2011

A New Challenger Approaches: Thaddeus McCotter, the Michigan Congressman

Goobergunch @ 22:00 CT
Posted in: Election 2012
Tags: ,

HAHAHAHAHA:

Rep. Thaddeus McCotter, R-Mich. will launch his presidential campaign on July 2, making him the third sitting member of the House to run for the White House in 2012.

Michele Bachmann has a chance at getting nominated straight from the House because she’s a national figure through her Tea Partying. By contrast, nobody has ever actually heard of McCotter. His presence in the race only serves to make my delegate table even more annoying for people with narrow screens and drop my Senate post from earlier today farther down the page.

Senate Actually Passes Bill

So I haven’t had many posts on Congressional action lately. Really, it’s just felt pointless to put the effort into anything the House passes, as it’s controlled by Republicans who aren’t inclined to vote for anything that Senate Democrats or President Obama are likely to support. There’s not really much incentive to research and write up bills that aren’t likely to ever become law. Meanwhile, the Senate is gripped by rules that prevent it from doing anything without bipartisan support. Which means Republicans have to admit that they don’t have a majority in the Senate and can’t expect votes on all of their proposals. Of course, under Senate rules, amendments don’t have to be germane to the bill that they’re proposed to, so we get this:

Democrats are upset Republicans killed the EDA funding bill earlier in the week by loading it with dozens of non-germane amendments and voting down a procedure that would have brought debate to a close.  A Small Business Administration funding bill saw similar demise earlier in the year.

The EDA funding bill referred to was sufficiently noncontroversial that it was reported out of committee by voice vote without any committee member feeling the need to file additional views. If a bill like that can’t go through the Senate, don’t hold your breath for anything that’s actually somewhat contentious.

So what did the Senate actually pass today?

Presidential Appointment Efficiency and Streamlining Act of 2011 – Exempts certain presidential appointments to cabinet-level agencies, independent commissions, and boards in the executive branch from the requirement of Senate confirmation (advice and consent).

Establishes the Working Group on Streamlining Paperwork for Executive Nominations to: (1) study the streamlining of paperwork required for executive nominations, and (2) conduct a review of the impact of background investigation requirements on the appointments process.

Yeah, the one bill that the Senate actually managed to pass (79-20) is a bill to reduce the Senate’s workload. AWESOME. While this isn’t a bad thing considering how broken the Senate is, the country has some fairly major problems (say, the anemic rate of job creation) that are a bit more pressing.

But good news!

Mr. Reid (NV): Mr. President, it is often said that with liberty comes responsibility. We should take that responsibility seriously. I’m confident we do. That’s why the Senate will reconvene on Tuesday, the day after the 4th. We’ll do that because we have work to do. We’ll be in session that week—that’s next week, with—with our first vote on July 5. We’ll determine what time that vote will be, likely in the afternoon because of the travel problems of the previous day. There’s still so much to do to put Americans back to work, to cut our deficit and our economy back to work. It is really important that we do this. That moment is too important, the obstacle is too steep, and the time too short to waste. Even I hope my Republican colleagues will put politics aside and help Democrats fulfill Congress’s responsibility to the American people.

Good luck with that. Every indication is that the debt ceiling negotiations are at an impasse. I predict a week full of quorum calls.

Really, the Senate needs procedural reform so a majority can actually pass legislation. I appreciate the value of allowing open debate and amendments—I don’t want the Senate to be a mirror of the House, in which the majority can do whatever it wants—but there have to be safeguards to stop the minority party from completely blocking everything. The Senate leadership missed its opportunity to enact such safeguards in January. The country is paying a price for it now.

UPDATE [20:16 CDT by Goobergunch]: The Tuesday vote will be Yet Another Cloture Motion. This time it’s on the motion to proceed to S. J. Res. 20, authorizing the limited use of force in Libya. House prospects: If it even gets a vote, it’ll fail by an approximate vote of 123-295.

28 June 2011

Superdelegate #2

Goobergunch @ 18:00 CT
Posted in: Election 2012
Tags:

Hughes, a state representative from White River Township, is evidently hoping for similar results for the 2012 campaign. This week, still 17 months before voters select the country’s president in the general election, Hughes announced her endorsement for former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney.

As the Muskegon Chronicle reports, Republican National Committeewoman Holly Hughes, of Michigan, has become the second superdelegate to add to the delegate count. Not really exciting, but worth noting.

At the moment, I think Bachmann’s the favorite in Iowa and Romney’s the favorite in New Hampshire. With the fate of the South Carolina primary in flux, it may just come down to who can motivate the Republican primary electorate on Super Tuesday. And I still don’t really see Romney electrifying Republicans if their primary voters are at all similar to the 2010 group. The big open question is whether Rick Perry, governor of Texas jumps in. He could split the conservative vote with Bachmann and give Romney a big opening to get through.

I know, highly original analysis. But there’s really not much to say yet. This race has developed a lot slower than either party’s 2008 nomination contest.

21 June 2011

First Superdelegate!

Goobergunch @ 18:00 CT
Posted in: Election 2012
Tags:

New Orleans, LA–In a surprise political move, Connecticut State Republican Chairman Chris Healy will soon endorse former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty for the 2012 GOP Presidential nomination.  Healy, who is attending the Southern Republican Leadership Conference in New Orleans, confirmed to HUMAN EVENTS last night that he met with Pawlenty and his top political team in Minneapolis earlier in the week and that an official announcement of support would be forthcoming.

That’s from Human Events a few days ago. From where I sit, this is exciting because Healy is the first delegate to the 2012 Republican National Convention to endorse a candidate. Which means that the delegate count is no longer completely zeroed out, with the score now being: Pawlenty 1, everybody else 0 (1212 needed to nominate).

It’s not like early superdelegate action really matters in terms of the Presidential race. But it’s fun to finally start the count. And who knows—keeping track of superdelegates eventually mattered last cycle.

16 June 2011

Next Week in the House

The House just passed H.R. 2112, the FY2012 Agriculture Appropriations bill, 217-203. I’ll have more on that a bit later, but here are the bills scheduled for consideration next week:

  • H.R. 1249, the Patent Reform bill
  • H.R. 2021, regarding air quality regulations for off-shore drilling
  • Possible action on H.R. 658, the FAA Reauthorization bill
  • FY2012 Defense Appropriations bill
  • Possible action on Libya-related legislation

More details on these bills later, but I’ll note that I’d guess that the action on H.R. 658 would just be a motion to go to conference.

14 June 2011

H.R. 2112, the FY2012 Agriculture Appropriations bill

With the House passing the Military Construction and Veterans Affairs Appropriations bill by a 411-5 vote, it’s time to turn to the next spending bill, which covers the Department of Agriculture, the Food and Drug Administration, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, and the Farm Credit Administration. The bill contains $17,250,000,000 in spending, which is a 13.4% reduction ($2.669 billion) from FY2011 spending levels. (In fact, it’s the lowest agriculture appropriation since FY2007.) The bill was reported from the Agriculture Committee on 31 May by a voice vote.

The main points of contention with this bill are the funding levels for the Special Supplemental Nutrition Program for Women and Children (WIC), as well as other nutrition programs.

The bill will be considered under an open rule (all valid amendments in order), and all points of order are waived except against sections 740 (requires FDA rules to be made based on “hard science”), 741 (requires Brazilian cotton payments to be offset), 743 (prohibits Brazilian cotton payments), and 744 (prohibits benefits to people with incomes over $250,000).

6 June 2011

A New Challenger Approaches: Michele Bachmann, the Minnesota Congresswoman

Goobergunch @ 17:00 CT
Posted in: Election 2012
Tags: ,

The field for the 13 June Republican primary debate in New Hampshire is set, and the attendees are:

Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachmann, businessman Herman Cain, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, Texas Rep. Ron Paul, former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney and former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum will participate in the June 13 debate on the campus of Saint Anselm College.

Bachmann hasn’t formally announced she’s running yet, but participation in a presidential debate tends to be a fairly strong indicator of one’s intent to run. So, what to say about Bachmann? She’s somewhere in Rick Santorum territory in terms of right-wingitude, and unlike Santorum, she’s actually done something since 2006. While I remain skeptical of anybody trying to run for President from the House, her appeal to the more extreme parts of the Republican party has to be noted.

With eight months to go before Iowa, it’s worth recapping a bit where we are in the Presidential race. So far, we have nine announced candidates for the Republican nomination, and there’s a chance we could see a few additional entrants. To the best of my knowledge, the delegate count is still zeroed out, although the delegate count isn’t really meaningful until several states have actually had primaries. (If you know of any RNC members that have endorsed a presidential candidate, please let me know in the comments.) National polling suggests that Mitt Romney is ahead, but it’s still too soon for national polling to mean much. In other words: we still really don’t know anything about how the 2012 Republican field will play out.

2 June 2011

Military/Veterans Appropriations Bill, FY2012 (First Day)

The House is considering H.R. 2055, the FY2012 Military Construction and Veterans Affairs Appropriations bill. This is the second general appropriations bill to be considered in the House for fiscal year 2012. The bill was reported out of the House Appropriations Committee on 24 May, by a voice vote.

Any amendment is in order so long as it complies with House rules. All points of order against the bill itself have been waived.

No votes are expected today. All votes postponed tonight will be taken tomorrow morning.

At this time, the bill has been read through Veterans Health Administration (Medical Services). The following amendments have been considered:

Sponsor Summary Disposition
Culberson Managers’ Amendment: To redirect funds for the medical services and general administration divisions of the Veterans Health Administration. Adopted

[19:10 CDT]: And looks like the House is done for the night. More tomorrow!

Homeland Security Appropriations Bill, FY2012 (Day 2)

The House is considering H.R. 2017, the FY2012 Homeland Security Appropriations bill. This is the first general appropriations bill to be considered in the House for fiscal year 2012. The bill was reported out of the House Appropriations Committee on 24 May, by a 27-20 party-line vote.

Any amendment is in order so long as it complies with House rules. All points of order against the bill itself have been waived except for one against Section 536, which extends the chemical security program expiration date by one year.

The following amendments were considered today:

Sponsor Summary Disposition
Baldwin To prohibit the use of funds to be used to design, develop, or procure any vessel of the Coast Guard Offshore Patrol Cutter class of ships, unless it is manufactured in the United States. Point of Order Sustained
Speier #19 To prohibit the use of funds used by TSA to purchase clothing that is not 100 percent domestic in origin. Point of Order Sustained
Speier #18 To prohibit the use of funds to be used to award a noncompetitively bid contract to an Alaska Native Corporation, Indian Tribe, or Native Hawaiian Organization in an amount in excess of the competive bidding threshold. Point of Order Sustained
Jackson Lee (TX) To prohibit the use of funds to be used to limit the discretion of the Secretary of Homeland Security to enhance the use of Federal Air Marshals on inbound international flights considered to be high risk by the Department of Homeland Security. Adopted

[11:54 CDT]: Voting is now beginning on several of the pending amendments that were debated yesterday and on which a vote was postponed. You’ll find them in the previous post on this bill.

[12:52 CDT]: The House has now voted on everything up to the second Scalise amendment. Now, it’s taking a break from this bill to debate the rule for the Military Construction / Veterans Affairs Appropriations bill.

[13:27 CDT]: With the rule for the MC/VA bill adopted, we’re back.

Sponsor Summary Disposition
Cole #42 To prohibit the use of funds to be used to implement any rule or regulation regarding the disclosure of political contributions that takes effect on or after the date of enactment of this Act. Adopted (252-170)
Gohmert To prohibit the use of funds for the new construction, purchase, or lease of any building or space in the District of Columbia except where a contract for the construction, purchase, or lease was entered into before the date of the enactment of this Act. Rejected (199-224)
Issa To prohibit the use of funds to promulgate regulations that will result in private sector job losses to United States companies. Withdrawn
Mica To add a new section requiring the amount made available to the Transportation Security Administration for screening operations, not more than $2,760,503,458 may be used for screener personnel, compensation, and benefits. Adopted (219-204)

[14:20 CDT]: And it’s time for another break. The House is now in recess subject to the call of the chair. The next votes are expected between 17:00 and 18:00 EDT today.

[15:13 CDT]: We’re back again.

Sponsor Summary Disposition
Polis #23 To prohibit the use of funds for being used to carry out section 287(g) of the Immigration and Nationality Act. Rejected (107-313)
Eshoo To prohibit the use of funds to enter into contracts with corporations or business entities that do not disclose their political expenditures. Point of Order Sustained

[16:08 CDT]: More votes! This series will dispose of all of the pending amendments.

[17:21 CDT]: Done with amendments, the Committee of the Whole rises. Next up: the motion to recommit and final passage.

  • Mr. Bishop (NY) moves to recommit with instructions to increase grants for Transportation Security and Counterterrorism through offsets from the Department of Homeland Security’s National Bio and Agro-Defense Facility.

[17:52 CDT]: The motion to recommit fails, 187-234.

[17:58 CDT]: And the bill passes, 231-188.

H.R. 2055, the FY2012 Military Construction & Veterans Affairs Appropriations bill

The second fiscal year 2012 appropriations bill up in the House this year is H.R. 2055, the Military Construction, Veterans Affairs, and Related Agencies Appropriations bill. Traditionally one of the less controversial spending bills, this one was reported out of the Appropriations Committee on 24 May by voice vote. (Here’s the committee report.) The bill contains $127,796,852,000 in funding for the Department of Veterans Affairs, a 5.8% increase from current spending levels. It also contains $14,014,047,000 for military construction, a 15.7% decrease from current spending levels. In total, the bill spends $142,032,269,000 in the upcoming fiscal year and provides advanced appropriations of $52,541,000,000 for FY 2013 VA medical programs.

I’ll break up the tables for this bill into the three different areas mentioned in the bill’s title.

Appropriations for Department of Defense military construction:

Budget Item Proposed FY2012 Spending
Military Construction $11,777,859,000
NATO Security Investment Organization $272,611,000
Family Housing Construction $1,693,062,000
Homeowners Assistance Fund $1,284,000
Chemical Demilitarization Construction $75,312,000
Base Closure Accounts $632,319,000

Appropriations for the Department of Veterans Affairs:

Budget Item Proposed FY2012 Spending
Veterans Benefits Administration $69,334,833,000
Veterans Health Administration (FY2013) $53,049,774,000
National Cemetery Administration $250,934,000
Departmental Administration $6,772,714,000

And finally, appropriations for related agencies:

Budget Item Proposed FY2012 Spending
American Battle Monuments Commission $61,100,000
U.S. Court of Appeals for Veterans Claims $30,770,000
Cemeterial Expenses, Army $45,800,000
Armed Forces Retirement Home $67,700,000

The most controversial policy rider on this bill is section 415, which blocks the enforcement of an executive order that encourages executive agencies to consider the use of project labor agreements in connection with large-scale construction projects.

Like the Homeland Security Appropriations bill, the Military Construction & Veterans Affairs Appropriations bill will be considered under an open rule, with any amendment in order that conforms to House rules. (And gets moved quickly enough–a couple amendments were blocked yesterday because they didn’t get offered at the right time.) The rule also provides for a separate vote on retaining Title II (Department of Veterans Affairs funding). Not sure what that’s about.

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